diff_of_means ratio_of_sd amplitude_ratio_of_means maximum_error sign_error qqplot_mae acf_mae extremogram_mae
xgboost.cesm2.ssp370 0.39% 0.891 0.549 0.364 0.138 0.023 0.123 0.096
nv.cesm2.ssp245 -1.10% 0.830 0.539 0.302 0.080 0.029 0.152 0.109
xgboost.cesm2.ssp585 1.34% 0.907 0.553 0.375 0.142 0.020 0.118 0.103
lstm.mri_esm2_0.ssp434 -2.38% 0.902 0.601 0.305 0.155 0.026 0.103 0.084
cnn.mri_esm2_0.ssp434 -2.99% 0.849 0.634 0.330 0.119 0.038 0.081 0.062
lstm.mri_esm2_0.ssp245 -3.18% 0.899 0.600 0.286 0.156 0.025 0.117 0.094
lstm.cesm2.ssp585 -3.44% 0.920 0.609 0.308 0.146 0.025 0.101 0.074
xgboost.cesm2.ssp245 3.52% 0.862 0.553 0.356 0.141 0.022 0.115 0.092
lstm.cesm2.ssp370 -3.85% 0.901 0.609 0.314 0.146 0.027 0.102 0.070
nv.cesm2.ssp585 -4.32% 0.901 0.551 0.315 0.079 0.026 0.154 0.124
nv.cesm2.ssp370 -4.78% 0.894 0.552 0.316 0.080 0.028 0.147 0.117
cnn.mri_esm2_0.ssp245 -4.99% 0.851 0.636 0.336 0.120 0.035 0.104 0.090
lstm.cesm2.ssp245 -5.15% 0.933 0.645 0.308 0.134 0.018 0.096 0.056
cnn.cesm2.ssp585 -5.84% 0.866 0.657 0.322 0.123 0.037 0.082 0.063
nv.mri_esm2_0.ssp370 6.06% 0.787 0.511 0.275 0.079 0.029 0.154 0.106
lstm.mri_esm2_0.ssp370 -6.79% 0.941 0.648 0.299 0.144 0.017 0.097 0.048
cnn.cesm2.ssp370 -6.86% 0.848 0.653 0.319 0.123 0.040 0.086 0.063
cnn.mri_esm2_0.ssp370 -8.56% 0.891 0.676 0.316 0.118 0.028 0.086 0.056
cnn.cesm2.ssp245 -8.94% 0.877 0.685 0.319 0.125 0.032 0.085 0.060
lstm.ec_earth3.ssp434 -10.22% 0.943 0.685 0.335 0.099 0.023 0.114 0.048
cnn.ec_earth3.ssp434 -10.33% 0.875 0.717 0.315 0.107 0.034 0.099 0.045
xgboost.mri_esm2_0.ssp370 12.85% 0.795 0.513 0.362 0.145 0.025 0.107 0.089
nv.mri_esm2_0.ssp434 18.19% 0.734 0.465 0.276 0.085 0.036 0.153 0.135
nv.mri_esm2_0.ssp245 19.99% 0.709 0.451 0.281 0.088 0.037 0.171 0.161
xgboost.ec_earth3.ssp434 -22.40% 0.943 0.625 0.371 0.128 0.041 0.150 0.088
xgboost.mri_esm2_0.ssp434 23.77% 0.739 0.459 0.370 0.151 0.037 0.109 0.120
nv.ec_earth3.ssp434 -24.89% 0.884 0.599 0.295 0.069 0.053 0.182 0.103
xgboost.mri_esm2_0.ssp245 25.34% 0.708 0.445 0.371 0.153 0.039 0.129 0.136

Time series of the first days

How Often Peaks Hit Hourly

QQ Plot

Distribution of the undownscaled value on days with estimated extremes values.

On the x-axis we have the daily mean (standardized). It says Undownscaled value, but is the daily mean after the downscaling. A good idea is to plot the original undownscaled value.

The purpose of this plot is to illustrate the distribution of P(undownscaled value | we predicted an extreme). This is useful because it reveals how much information we can recover concerning extreme events. If the distribution is skewed to the right, it suggests that we’re predicting extreme values only when extreme values have already occurred. Conversely, if the lower tail of the distribution resembles the reanalysis data, it indicates that we can capture short-duration extremes (e.g., brief periods of heavy rainfall, such as an intense downpour lasting an hour before stopping).

Autocorrelogram

Extremogram